November 23, 2007

No Surrender in Iowa!

Filed under: Campaign News — Austin Cassidy @ 4:18 pm

The following article from the Des Moines Register covers the McCain campaign and why the staff is still generally upbeat about the Senator’s chances for a good showing.  An interesting bit of information is that 200+ precinct captains from the Brownback campaign have joined the McCain team.  That’s great news and a big boost!

Reports suggesting that Republican presidential candidate John McCain’s campaign in Iowa is about to sink out of sight are wrong, McCain’s top strategist says.

“Part of it is our fault for not educating some of our people who are telling folks we ought not to be wasting our money and time in Iowa,” Rick Davis, the Arizona Republican senator’s national campaign manager, said this week. “But to be honest, we also are not in the expectation-setting business. All I know that is we have our organization in place and we have continued to add people to it.” 

Davis responded to questions about McCain’s chances of success in the Jan. 3 Republican caucuses by discounting what polls show to be a continued slide in McCain’s popularity here down to single digits. He highlighted what those same polls also show - a volatile Republican electorate that could change minds in large numbers.

But Davis said his calculations show that McCain is as much in the race as anyone.

“In a caucus, it is all math and from what I can tell, we are still the math game,” he said. “When only 1,500 caucusgoers separate fifth (place) from third, you can’t cut John McCain out because we do have the ability to deliver votes.”

McCain was scheduled to leave Wednesday to visit troops in Iraq during the Thanksgiving holiday. He will arrive in Iraq at a time when there is strong evidence that the military surge he advocated last summer has reduced violence in many areas of the country, particularly Baghdad.

When McCain returns, he will come back to Iowa in mid-December and possibly earlier as he tries to balance his time in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. The candidate has been in Iowa regularly since the summer and has attracted sizable crowds.

McCain’s message will continue dealing with combating illegal immigration - an issue Davis concedes has taken its toll on the Iowa campaign.

“I think it is a negative, but we are overcoming it with the approach he is now taking that he is committed to focusing on border security,” Davis said. “We got rapped on the knuckles and learned a lesson. John has paid an enormous political price for it and he knows it. At the same time, he believes people accept his explanation that he will be committed to getting control of the border.”

But McCain’s poll numbers in Iowa have shown only declines. In New Hampshire, however, McCain seems to be gaining traction - polls showed him behind former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney but leading former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

Davis, who was in Iowa last week to meet with staff and supporters, said the campaign picked up a number of county chairs and precinct chairs from U.S. Sen. Sam Brownback’s campaign. The Kansan withdrew from the presidential race and endorsed McCain earlier this month.

“We increased the size of the organization about 20 to 25 percent and it has been a big addition because Senator Brownback has been here and is coming back for us,” Davis said. More than 200 precinct captains from the Brownback campaign have joined McCain, he said.

He also said that Romney and Giuliani are vulnerable because their support is soft. “If Romney starts to tick down and if Rudy continues to struggle with everything from defending his record on life issues and judgment issues, I think we can take votes from the left from him and from the right from Romney,” Davis said.

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